Current trend
Gold prices declined significantly as a result of Wednesday trading
session. The pair is still under pressure of the growing likelihood of
US monetary policy toughening before the end of this year. However, the
trend in the decline of the dollar, which was established in the stock
markets, holding back the further falling of pair.
Moderate support to the dollar on Wednesday was provided by good
macroeconomic statistics from the US. In particular, traders
optimistically met the data on business activity and the sales of new
homes. In September, after a significant decline in August (–8.6%),
sales of new homes in the country grew by 3.1%, reaching 0.593 million
units. According to preliminary data for October, the index of business
activity in the services sector by Markit rose from 52.3 to 54.8 points,
while analysts do not expect any change at all.
On Thursday, October 27, markets expect the publication of important
data on orders for durable goods in September. According to forecasts,
statistics can provide additional support for the dollar, as the
information on the dynamics of the orders for August was disappointing.
Support and resistance
Resistance: 1270.00 (the nearest level), 1274.27 (maximum of 20th of October), 1276.84 (maximum of 5th of October), 1282.01, 1289.57, 1300.00 (a strong psychological level).
Support: 1264.45 (low of 26th of October), 1260.23 (minimum of 24th of October), 1256.12, 1251.00, 1245.94 (minimum of 14th of October), 1241.21 (minimum of 7th of October).
The indicator "Bollinger Bands" on the daily chart is moving
sideways. Price range isn’t expanding, delineating the boundaries of the
short-term flat. It is recommended to stick to the channel trading
strategy.
MACD indicator is growing, keeping a weak buy signal (the histogram
is above the signal line). It is recommended to hold long positions,
while to open new trades it’s better to wait for the additional signals.
"Stochastic" oscillator moves down, lying in the central zone.
Current readings of the indicator evidence in favor of a downward
correction later in the week.
Trading tips
To open a long position, you can rely on the reversal of the tool
close to 1268.50, provided that evidence of technical indicators doesn’t
contradict this. Take-profit – 1282.01 or 1289.57. Stop-loss –
1260.23/1256.12. Implementation period of 2-3 days.
A breakdown of 1264.45/00 may be a signal for further sales with the
targets of 1251.00 or 1245.94. Stop-loss – 1270.00/1274.27.
Implementation period of 2-3 days.
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